Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 5.046925e-05 0.000059 0.000068 0.000078 0.000089 0.000101 0.000114
2024-12-29 3.918520e-05 0.000050 0.000062 0.000077 0.000094 0.000113 0.000136
2025-01-05 3.185554e-05 0.000044 0.000058 0.000076 0.000098 0.000123 0.000154
2025-01-12 2.585506e-05 0.000038 0.000054 0.000075 0.000100 0.000131 0.000169
2025-01-19 2.067972e-05 0.000033 0.000049 0.000071 0.000100 0.000135 0.000179
2025-01-26 1.694929e-05 0.000029 0.000046 0.000069 0.000100 0.000139 0.000190
2025-02-02 1.503781e-05 0.000027 0.000045 0.000071 0.000105 0.000149 0.000208
2025-02-09 1.286885e-05 0.000025 0.000043 0.000070 0.000108 0.000156 0.000221
2025-02-16 1.211500e-05 0.000025 0.000044 0.000074 0.000115 0.000170 0.000244
2025-02-23 1.034545e-05 0.000023 0.000042 0.000073 0.000116 0.000175 0.000256
2025-03-02 8.447378e-06 0.000020 0.000039 0.000070 0.000115 0.000176 0.000263
2025-03-09 7.156942e-06 0.000018 0.000037 0.000069 0.000116 0.000181 0.000273
2025-03-16 5.840767e-06 0.000016 0.000035 0.000067 0.000117 0.000186 0.000286
2025-03-23 4.832139e-06 0.000015 0.000034 0.000067 0.000119 0.000194 0.000302
2025-03-30 4.005634e-06 0.000014 0.000032 0.000067 0.000122 0.000201 0.000318
2025-04-06 3.164794e-06 0.000012 0.000030 0.000065 0.000122 0.000205 0.000329
2025-04-13 2.361049e-06 0.000010 0.000028 0.000062 0.000120 0.000206 0.000336
2025-04-20 1.796986e-06 0.000009 0.000026 0.000060 0.000119 0.000209 0.000346
2025-04-27 1.556375e-06 0.000009 0.000026 0.000062 0.000124 0.000219 0.000366
2025-05-04 1.241879e-06 0.000008 0.000025 0.000061 0.000126 0.000225 0.000381
2025-05-11 1.174870e-06 0.000008 0.000026 0.000064 0.000133 0.000241 0.000409
2025-05-18 9.126942e-07 0.000007 0.000024 0.000063 0.000134 0.000246 0.000422
2025-05-25 6.389364e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000061 0.000132 0.000246 0.000428